The 2026 motocross landscape hinges on two major decisions: Chase Sexton and Eli Tomac. Industry insiders are still awaiting Sexton’s next move, with neither Red Bull KTM nor Monster Energy Kawasaki confirming they’ve secured the reigning champion. Despite speculation and reports of deals being signed, Sexton has maintained publicly that no final decision will come until around the Salt Lake City round.
If Sexton stays with Red Bull KTM, he would join Aaron Plessinger—who recently extended his contract—and potentially Tom Vialle, should the latter win the 250 title and move up. This would give KTM a formidable three-man 450 squad, rounding out a strong lineup.
However, if Sexton departs, KTM would need a new 450 leader—and that’s where Eli Tomac enters the picture. While Ducati has shown interest in Tomac for its developing Supercross program, concerns remain over the bike’s readiness. In contrast, KTM offers a proven, competitive platform. Rumors suggest KTM has either already tested with Tomac or plans to soon, depending on Sexton’s final call.
In short, the entire structure of Red Bull KTM’s 2026 lineup—and potentially Ducati’s debut strategy—rests on where Sexton decides to go. Once that domino falls, the rest of the 450 landscape should quickly take shape.
